Life Cycle Employment and Fertility Across Institutional Environments

Life Cycle Employment and Fertility Across Institutional Environments
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DOI:
10.1016/j.euroecorev.2008.06.001
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发表时间:
2006-09
期刊:
Labor: Demographics & Economics of the Family
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
R. Sauer;Daniela Del Boca
R. Sauer;Daniela Del Boca
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
R. Sauer;Daniela Del Boca

文献摘要

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本文利用意大利、西班牙和法国的已婚女性数据,建立了女性劳动力参与与生育选择的动态效用最大化模型,并估计了近似决策规则。估计决策规则表明,一阶状态依赖是决定三国女性劳动供给行为的最重要因素。我们还发现,国家依赖效应的跨国差异与劳动力市场灵活性和儿童保育可用性的国家层面措施的顺序是一致的。该模型的反事实模拟表明,如果意大利和西班牙采取法国的社会政策,这些国家的女性就业率可以达到欧盟的目标水平。
In this paper, we formulate a dynamic utility maximization model of female labor force participation and fertility choices and estimate approximate decision rules using data on married women in Italy, Spain and France. The estimated decision rules indicate that first-order state dependence is the most important factor determining female labor supply behavior in all three countries. We also find that cross-country differences in state dependence effects are consistent with the order of country-level measures of labor market flexibility and child care availability. Counterfactual simulations of the model indicate that female employment rates in Italy and Spain could reach EU target levels were French social policies to be adopted in those countries.