Misinformation and Motivated ReasoningResponses to Economic News in a Politicized Environment

Misinformation and Motivated ReasoningResponses to Economic News in a Politicized Environment
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政治化环境中的错误信息和动机推理对经济新闻的反应

DOI:
10.1093/poq/nfw043
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发表时间:
2016
影响因子:
3.4
通讯作者:
Cameron Roche
Cameron Roche
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Brian F. Schaffner;Cameron Roche

文献摘要

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民意学者最近专注于理解为什么调查报告在其他知识渊博和参与的党派人士中存在如此高的错误信息。在本文中,我们利用一个自然的实验,涉及2012年10月的就业报告公告,以获得一个更完整的理解,个人的信念是如何影响新的显着信息在政治化的环境。我们研究了共和党人和民主党人在失业率宣布之前和之后对失业率的反应,失业率在奥巴马总统任期内首次降至8%以下。使用各种技术,包括反应潜伏期的措施,我们得出的结论是,党羽没有作出反应的就业报告,从事动机推理,提供了一个更清晰的理解,为什么个人对事实问题的反应在很大程度上不同的方式。
Public opinion scholars have recently focused on understanding why surveys report such high levels of misinformation among otherwise knowledgeable and engaged partisans. In this paper, we take advantage of a natural experiment involving the October 2012 jobs report announcement to gain a more complete understanding of how individuals’ beliefs are influenced by new salient information in a politicized environment. We examine reactions by Republicans and Democrats on a factual question about the unemployment rate immediately before and after the announcement that unemployment had fallen below 8% for the first time during the Obama presidency. Using a variety of techniques, including response latency measures, we conclude that partisans did react to the jobs report by engaging in motivated reasoning, providing a clearer understanding of why individuals respond to factual questions in vastly different ways.