Overestimating HIV infection: The construction and accuracy of subjective probabilities of HIV infection in rural Malawi.
Overestimating HIV infection: The construction and accuracy of subjective probabilities of HIV infection in rural Malawi.
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DOI：
10.4054/demres.2009.20.6
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发表时间：
2009
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Kohler HP
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Anglewicz P;Kohler HP
在没有艾滋病毒检测的情况下，马拉维农村人如何评估他们的艾滋病毒状况？在本文中，我们使用了一个独特的数据集，其中包括受访者的艾滋病毒状况以及他们感染艾滋病毒的主观可能性。这些数据表明，许多农村马拉维人高估了他们目前感染艾滋病毒的可能性。实际状况和人们所认为的状况之间的差异提出了一个重要的问题：为什么这么多人都错了？我们开始首先确定自我评估的艾滋病毒状态的决定因素，然后将这些评估与艾滋病毒生物标志物结果进行比较。最后，我们问个人的哪些特征与自我评估中的错误有关。
In the absence of HIV testing, how do rural Malawians assess their HIV status? In this paper, we use a unique dataset that includes respondents' HIV status as well as their subjective likelihood of HIV infection. These data show that many rural Malawians overestimate their likelihood of current HIV infection. The discrepancy between actual and perceived status raises an important question: Why are so many wrong? We begin by identifying determinants of self-assessed HIV status, and then compare these assessments with HIV biomarker results. Finally, we ask what characteristics of individuals are associated with errors in self-assessments.