Integrating multiple criteria decision analysis in participatory forest planning: Experience from a case study in northern Sweden

Integrating multiple criteria decision analysis in participatory forest planning: Experience from a case study in northern Sweden
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DOI:
10.1016/j.forpol.2010.07.006
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发表时间:
2010-10-01
影响因子:
4
通讯作者:
Ohman, Karin
Ohman, Karin
中科院分区:
农林科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Nordstrom, Eva-Maria;Eriksson, Ljusk Ola;Ohman, Karin

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参与性森林规划往往涉及利益冲突的多个利益攸关方。处理这些复杂情况的一个有希望的方法是将参与性规划和多标准决策分析(MCDA)结合起来。本文的目的是分析这种综合办法的长处和短处,重点是军事和民防资源的使用如何影响参与进程。本文概述了一个模型的参与MCDA过程的五个步骤:利益相关者分析,结构的决策问题,产生的替代品,引发的偏好,和排名的替代品。该模型应用于瑞典Lycksele城市森林规划过程的案例研究。在与利益攸关方的访谈中,确定了四个不同社会群体的标准。利益攸关方还确定了对他们重要的具体领域,并解释了这些领域用于哪些活动以及他们希望在那里进行的森林管理。现有的森林数据与采访的信息相结合,创建一个地图,其中城市森林被划分为不同的管理类的区域。根据地带图制定了三个备选战略森林计划。利益相关者通过层次分析法在调查表中分别陈述了他们的偏好,并为每个利益相关者确定了备选方案和一致性比率的排名。对替代方案的排名进行汇总;首先,对于每个社会群体使用算术平均值,然后使用加权算术平均值根据群体排名计算总体汇总排名。Lycksele的参与性MCDA进程根据五个社会目标进行评估:将公共价值观纳入决策,提高决策的实质性质量,解决相互竞争的利益之间的冲突,建立对机构的信任,以及教育和告知公众。案例研究的结果和评估支持将参与性规划和军事和民防资源结合起来,作为处理复杂森林管理情况的一个可行选择。确定了需要进一步探讨的与军事和民防资源评估方法有关的关键问题:(1)处理针对具体地点的标准,(2)制定替代办法,(3)将个人偏好汇总为共同偏好,(4)在真实的案例研究中应用和评价综合办法。(C)2010 Elsevier B. V.保留所有权利。
Forest planning in a participatory context often involves multiple stakeholders with conflicting interests. A promising approach for handling these complex situations is to integrate participatory planning and multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA). The objective of this paper is to analyze strengths and weaknesses of such an integrated approach, focusing on how the use of MCDA has influenced the participatory process. The paper outlines a model for a participatory MCDA process with five steps: stakeholder analysis, structuring of the decision problem, generation of alternatives, elicitation of preferences, and ranking of alternatives. This model was applied in a case study of a planning process for the urban forest in Lycksele, Sweden. In interviews with stakeholders, criteria for four different social groups were identified. Stakeholders also identified specific areas important to them and explained what activities the areas were used for and the forest management they wished for there. Existing forest data were combined with information from interviews to create a map in which the urban forest was divided into zones of different management classes. Three alternative strategic forest plans were produced based on the zonal map. The stakeholders stated their preferences individually by the Analytic Hierarchy Process in inquiry forms and a ranking of alternatives and consistency ratios were determined for each stakeholder. Rankings of alternatives were aggregated; first, for each social group using the arithmetic mean, and then an overall aggregated ranking was calculated from the group rankings using the weighted arithmetic mean. The participatory MCDA process in Lycksele is assessed against five social goals: incorporating public values into decisions, improving the substantive quality of decisions, resolving conflict among competing interests, building trust in institutions, and educating and informing the public. The results and assessment of the case study support the integration of participatory planning and MCDA as a viable option for handling complex forest-management situations. Key issues related to the MCDA methodology that need to be explored further were identified: 1) the handling of place-specific criteria, 2) development of alternatives, 3) the aggregation of individual preferences into a common preference, and 4) application and evaluation of the integrated approach in real case studies. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.