Fostering Climate Resilient Electricity Infrastructures
Fostering Climate Resilient Electricity Infrastructures
复制标题
促进气候适应型电力基础设施
DOI：
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
L. Bollinger
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
L. Bollinger
热浪、飓风、洪水和风暴--近年来，由于环境条件短期偏离其规范，电力基础设施出现了严重故障。在气候变化的驱动下，预计在未来几十年内，这种偏离的严重程度和/或频率将增加。这将对我们的电力供应和运输系统产生重要影响。有鉴于此，复原力是未来基础设施系统的一个基本特征。复原力的概念含蓄地接受了不可预见的中断和故障的可能性，并侧重于系统处理这些中断和故障的能力-在意外的扰动中生存下来，从逆境中恢复过来，并体面地降级-以及随着时间的推移适应和学习的能力。我们如何在荷兰建立气候适应性电力基础设施？为了解决这个问题，本论文综合的见解，从多个计算机模型使用多种建模技术。这些模型强调了电力基础设施作为一个复杂和不断发展的系统的性质，其内部和与其他基础设施相互关联。除了这些见解，论文贡献了一个框架，一种方法和一套工具，支持在荷兰和其他地方的气候弹性电力基础设施的发展。
Heat waves, hurricanes, floods and windstorms - recent years have seen dramatic failures in electricity infrastructures sparked by short-term departures of environmental conditions from their norms. Driven by a changing climate, such deviations are anticipated to increase in severity and/or frequency over the coming decades. This will have important implications for the systems that supply and transport our electricity. In light of this, resilience is an essential characteristic of future infrastructure systems. The notion of resilience implicitly accepts the possibility of unforeseen disruptions and failures and focuses on the capacity of systems to handle them - to survive unexpected perturbation, recover from adversity and gracefully degrade - as well as an ability to adapt and learn over time. How can we foster a climate resilient electricity infrastructure in the Netherlands? To address this question, this thesis synthesizes insights from multiple computer models using multiple modeling techniques. These models stress the nature of the electricity infrastructure as a complex and evolving system, interconnected within itself and with other infrastructures. Beyond these insights, the thesis contributes a framework, an approach and a set of tools for supporting the development of climate resilient electricity infrastructures in the Netherlands and elsewhere.