A Response to Philippe Lemoine's Critique on our Paper"Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S."

A Response to Philippe Lemoine's Critique on our Paper"Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S."
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回应 Philippe Lemoine 对我们论文《口罩、政策、行为对美国早期 Covid-19 大流行的因果影响》的批评

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发表时间:
2021
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通讯作者:
Paul Schrimpf
Paul Schrimpf
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作者:
V. Chernozhukov;Hiroyuki Kasahara;Paul Schrimpf

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最近,Phillippe Lemoine 在他题为“封锁、计量经济学和给猪涂口红的艺术”的帖子中发表了对我们的论文“口罩、政策、行为对美国早期 Covid-19 大流行的因果影响”[arXiv:2005.14168]的批评。尽管 Lemoine 的批评似乎受意识形态驱动且过于情绪化,但他的一些观点值得探讨。特别是,我们的估计结果的敏感性(i)包括“公共场所的口罩”和(ii)更新数据似乎是重要的批评,因此,我们决定自己分析更新的数据。本说明总结了我们重新检查更新数据的发现,并回应了 Phillippe Lemoine 对这两点的批评。我们还简要讨论了 Lemoine 在他的帖子中提出的其他观点。在分析更新的数据后,我们找到了强化原始研究中得出的结论的证据。
Recently, Phillippe Lemoine posted a critique of our paper"Causal Impact of Masks, Policies, Behavior on Early Covid-19 Pandemic in the U.S."[arXiv:2005.14168] at his post titled"Lockdowns, econometrics and the art of putting lipstick on a pig."Although Lemoine's critique appears ideologically driven and overly emotional, some of his points are worth addressing. In particular, the sensitivity of our estimation results for (i) including"masks in public spaces"and (ii) updating the data seems important critiques and, therefore, we decided to analyze the updated data ourselves. This note summarizes our findings from re-examining the updated data and responds to Phillippe Lemoine's critique on these two important points. We also briefly discuss other points Lemoine raised in his post. After analyzing the updated data, we find evidence that reinforces the conclusions reached in the original study.