Predicting marital stability and divorce in newlywed couples
Predicting marital stability and divorce in newlywed couples
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DOI:
10.1037/0893-3200.14.1.42
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发表时间:
2000-03-01
影响因子:
2.7
通讯作者:
Ruckstuhl, L
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Carrère, S;Buehlman, KT;Ruckstuhl, L
A longitudinal study with 95 newlywed couples examined the power of the Oral History Interview to predict stable marital relationships and divorce. A principal components analysis of the interview with the couples (Time 1) identified a latent variable, perceived marital bond, that was significant in predicting which couples would remain married or divorce within the first 5 years of their marriage. A discriminant function analysis of the newlywed oral history data predicted, with 87.4% accuracy, those couples whose marriages remained intact or broke up at the Time 2 data collection point. The oral history data predicted with 81% accuracy those couples who remained married or divorced at the Time 3 data collection point. This study offers support for causal linkages between perceptual biases and selective attention on the path of marriage.