Are we living in a computer simulation?
Are we living in a computer simulation?
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DOI：
10.1111/1467-9213.00309
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发表时间：
2003-04-01
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Bostrom, N
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bostrom, N
我认为，至少以下一个命题是正确的：(1)人类物种很有可能在到达“死后”阶段之前灭绝；(2)任何死后文明都极不可能对其进化史(或其变体)进行大量模拟；(3)我们几乎肯定生活在计算机模拟中。由此得出的结论是，认为我们有一天很有可能成为运行祖先模拟的死后人类的想法是错误的，除非我们目前生活在模拟中。我讨论了这一结果的一些后果。
I argue that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to become extinct before reaching a 'posthuman' stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of its evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the belief that there is a significant chance that we shall one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. I discuss some consequences of this result.