Fertility and economic growth: the role of workforce skill composition and child care prices
Fertility and economic growth: the role of workforce skill composition and child care prices
复制标题
生育率和经济增长：劳动力技能构成和儿童保育价格的作用
DOI：
10.1093/oep/gpw003
复制
发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
1.2
通讯作者：
Creina Day
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Creina Day
本文提出了一个世代重叠模型，其中包括职业（教育）的选择，生育率，如何抚养孩子，和市场的儿童保育。经济增长和生育率之间的动态相互作用的审查，通过劳动力的技能构成区分两个阶段的经济运动。在初始阶段，经济由熟练工人和非熟练工人组成。在第二阶段，所有工人都是熟练工人。技术工人比教育程度较低的工人生育的子女更少。总生育率最初会随着技术工人比例随经济增长而上升而下降，然后可能会随着熟练劳动力的生育率随着熟练工资的上升而恢复，在给定的儿童保育价格下。然而，在均衡情况下，当提供托儿服务而熟练劳动力的回报不变时，托儿服务的价格与熟练工人的工资成比例上升。结果表明，高收入国家生育率的上升是否会继续取决于每个国家的儿童保育结构。
This paper presents an overlapping generations model that incorporates choice of occupation (education), fertility, how to rear children, and a market for child care. The dynamic interplay between economic growth and fertility is examined as an economy moves through two phases distinguished by the skill composition of the workforce. In the initial phase, the economy comprises skilled and unskilled workers. In the second phase, all workers are skilled. Skilled workers are shown to have fewer children than less educated workers. Aggregate fertility initially declines as the fraction of skilled workers rises with economic growth, and then may recover as the fertility of a skilled workforce rises with skilled wages, for given child care prices. However, in equilibrium, child care prices rise proportionally to skilled wages when child care is produced with constant returns to skilled labour. Results indicate that whether or not the rise in fertility witnessed in high-income countries will continue depends on each country’s structure of child care.
技术进步、收入不平等和生育率
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2008
期刊：
Journal of Population Economics 21
影响因子：
--
作者：
J. Cavailhes;C. Gaigne;T. Tabuchi;J. -F. Thisse;Kazuhiro Yamamoto
通讯作者：
Kazuhiro Yamamoto