Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting

Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting
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经济周期、指标和预测

DOI:
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发表时间:
1993
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
M. Watson
M. Watson
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
J. Stock;M. Watson

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预测者无法准确预测1990-1991年的衰退,这突出表明需要更好的方法来绘制经济的路线图。在本书中,主要的经济学家研究了过去十年中发展起来的预测技术,将其与传统的计量经济学模型进行了比较,并讨论了预测和时间序列分析的新方法。
The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.