Assessing the Impact of Offshore Wind Power Deployment on Fishery: A Synthetic Control Approach
Assessing the Impact of Offshore Wind Power Deployment on Fishery: A Synthetic Control Approach
复制标题
评估海上风电部署对渔业的影响：综合控制方法
DOI：
10.1007/s10640-022-00710-0
复制
发表时间：
2022
影响因子：
5.9
通讯作者：
Ozawa Akito
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Shimada Hideki;Asano Kenji;Nagai Yu;Ozawa Akito
全球努力使能源部门脱碳是遏制全球变暖的必要条件，许多国家计划通过快速部署海上风电来实现这一目标。然而，如果由于预期的渔业中断而在可能拥有海上风电场的海域附近进行贸易的当地渔民反对部署，部署可能会减速。到目前为止，还没有关于海上风电场安装对当地渔业的因果影响的知识体系。本研究使用日本市町村渔业生产面板数据，采用综合控制方法来衡量因果影响。结果表明，目前安装在日本的海上风电场不太可能破坏当地渔业。我们没有发现统计上的显着影响，无论是对总的渔业生产或按渔业类型分类的生产。此外，我们没有发现空间溢出效应。虽然我们的研究结果的概括需要谨慎，因为他们是基于小规模的风力发电场，我们的研究结果意味着，这种中等规模的风力发电项目可能不会损害当地渔业。
Global efforts to decarbonize the energy sector are necessary to curb global warming, and many countries plan to achieve this through the rapid deployment of offshore wind power. However, the deployment will likely decelerate if local fishers plying their trade near maritime areas likely to host offshore wind farms oppose the deployments due to anticipated fishery disruptions. To date, there is no body of knowledge on the causal impact of offshore wind farm installation on local fisheries. Using fishery production panel data at the municipality level in Japan, this study applies a synthetic control method to measure causal impacts. The results suggest that offshore wind farms currently installed in Japan are unlikely to disrupt local fisheries. We find no statistically significant effects either on aggregated fishery production or on production categorized by fishery type. Moreover, we find no spatial spillover effects. Although the generalization of our findings requires caution because they are based on small-scale wind farms, our results imply that such moderate-size wind projects may not harm local fisheries.