Which Residential Clusters of Walkability Affect Future Population from the Perspective of Real Estate Prices in the Osaka Metropolitan Area?
Which Residential Clusters of Walkability Affect Future Population from the Perspective of Real Estate Prices in the Osaka Metropolitan Area?
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DOI：
10.3390/su132313413
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发表时间：
2021-12-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Takizawa, Atsushi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kato, Haruka;Takizawa, Atsushi
在人口减少和老龄化严重的日本，步行性作为改善居民生活方式的一种方式引起了人们的关注。因此，确定可步行性改善将有助于维持人口的住宅群，以便选择实施可步行设计的城市地区是至关重要的。本研究旨在从真实的房地产价格的角度，确定步行性影响未来人口的居住集群。关注真实的房地产价格的原因是，它们预计将成为连接步行能力和未来人口的混杂因素。我们采用的方法是分析结构方程模型的步行指数，真实的房地产价格，未来人口变化率的影响。这一分析是基于邻里协会规模。本研究阐明，有效的居住区集群是商业中心集群和蔓延集群。在商业中心区和蔓延区，销售公寓的价格是真实的房地产价值，步行指数通过该价值正向影响未来人口变化率。这意味着，在利用位置优化规划政策重建旧建筑存量时，通过将适合步行的设计与鼓励人们将居住类型改为销售公寓的住房政策相结合，预计将有助于维持未来的人口。
In Japan, where the population is declining and aging significantly, walkability has attracted attention as a way to improve residents' lifestyles. Therefore, it is essential to identify the residential clusters where walkability improvement would contribute to the maintenance of the population in order to select urban areas for the implementation of walkable designs. This study aimed to identify the residential clusters in which walkability affects the future population from the perspective of real estate prices. The reason for focusing on real estate prices is that they are expected to be a confounding factor connecting walkability and the future population. The method we used was to analyze the structural equation modeling of the impact of walkability index, real estate prices, and future population change ratio. This analysis was based on the neighborhood association scale. This study clarified that effective residential clusters are the business center cluster and the sprawl cluster. In the business center cluster and the sprawl cluster, the price of apartments for sale is the real estate value, through which the walkability index positively impacts the future population change ratio. This means that it is expected to contribute to the maintenance of the future population through a combination of walkable designs and housing policies that encourage people to change their residence types to apartments for sale when rebuilding old building stock using the location optimization plan policy.