Business cycles and mortality: results from Swedish microdata
Business cycles and mortality: results from Swedish microdata
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.socscimed.2004.05.004
复制
发表时间：
2005-01-01
影响因子：
5.4
通讯作者：
Johannesson, M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gerdtham, UG;Johannesson, M
我们利用瑞典4万多人的大型个人数据集评估了商业周期与死亡风险之间的关系，这些人被跟踪了10-16年（导致超过50万人的年观察）。我们检验了失业率、通知率、偏离GDP趋势、GDP变化、行业产能利用率和行业信心指标6个经济周期替代指标对死亡风险的影响。对于男性，我们发现商业周期与死亡风险之间存在显著的逆周期关系，其中四个指标与其他两个指标的影响不显著。对于女性，我们不能拒绝对任何商业周期指标都没有影响的零假设。(C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd.版权所有。
We assess the relationship between business cycles and mortality risk using a large individual level data set on over 40,000 individuals in Sweden who were followed for 10-16 years (leading to over 500,000 person-year observations). We test the effect of six alternative business cycle indicators on the mortality risk: the unemployment rate, the notification rate, the deviation from the GDP trend, the GDP change, the industry capacity utilization, and the industry confidence indicator. For men we find a significant countercyclical relationship between the business cycle and the mortality risk for four of the indicators and a non-significant effect for the other two indicators. For women we cannot reject the null hypothesis of no effect for any of the business cycle indicators. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.