Cross-correlations between agricultural commodity futures markets in the US and China
Cross-correlations between agricultural commodity futures markets in the US and China
复制标题
中美农产品期货市场的互相关性
DOI:
10.1016/j.physa.2012.02.029
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发表时间:
2012-08
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Zhihui Li
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Xinsheng Lu;Zhihui Li
This paper examines the cross-correlation properties of agricultural futures markets between the US and China using a cross-correlation statistic test and multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA). The results show that the cross-correlations between the two geographically distant markets for four pairs of important agricultural commodities futures are significantly multifractal. By introducing the concept of a “crossover”, we find that the multifractality of cross-correlations between the two markets is not long lasting. The cross-correlations in the short term are more strongly multifractal, but they are weakly so in the long term. Moreover, cross-correlations of small fluctuations are persistent and those of large fluctuations are anti-persistent in the short term while cross-correlations of all kinds of fluctuations for soy bean and soy meal futures are persistent and for corn and wheat futures are anti-persistent in the long term. We also find that cross-correlation exponents are less than the averaged generalized Hurst exponent when q<0 and more than the averaged generalized Hurst exponent when q>0 in the short term, while in the long term they are almost the same.
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发表时间:
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