COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT MODEL ON ACCIDENT SITUATIONS OF THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN CHINA: A MACRO-LEVEL PERSPECTIVE
COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT MODEL ON ACCIDENT SITUATIONS OF THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN CHINA: A MACRO-LEVEL PERSPECTIVE
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宏观视角下我国建筑业事故状况综合评估模型
DOI：
10.3846/jcem.2019.11662
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发表时间：
2019
影响因子：
4.3
通讯作者：
Dawei Liu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bo Shao;Zhigen Hu;Liyang Tong;Xiazhong Zheng;Dawei Liu
建筑业作为风险最高的行业之一，历来都是研究热点。但整个行业的宏观事故情况却很少受到关注。因此，本研究开发了中国建筑业事故状况的综合评估模型，旨在协助政府更好地了解和改善整个行业的事故状况。结合我国国情，首先选取与事故情况相关的6个指标建立指标体系；然后提出采用结构熵权法确定指标权重，采用动态分类法探究事故工况特征。结果表明，事故情况较差的省份占全国省份的53%，主要分布在经济欠发达的中西部地区。与此同时，一些省份的事故情况严重，甚至可能失控，尤其是河北。东南、东北地区省份表现较好，但事故情况仍有较大改善空间。研究结果验证了所开发模型的合理性，可以为政府从宏观层面制定安全监管策略提供有价值的见解。
As one of the most high-risk sections, the construction industry has traditionally been the research hotspot. Yet little attention has been paid to macro-level accident situations of the entire industry. Therefore, this study develops a comprehensive assessment model on accident situations of Chinese building industry, aiming at assisting the government to better understand and improve accident situations of the entire industry. Based on China conditions, six indicators related to accident situations are firstly selected to establish an indicator system; then structure entropy weight method is proposed to determine indicator weighs, with dynamic classification method to explore the characteristics of accident situations. The results demonstrate that the provinces with poor accident situations account for 53% of all provinces, and they are mainly distributed in the central and western regions of China where there exist the underdeveloped economy. Meanwhile, some provinces experience poor accident situations that could be out-of-control, especially for Hebei. Provinces in the southeastern and northeastern regions of China perform relatively well, but they still have much improvement room for accident situations. The findings validate the rationality of the developed model and can provide valuable insights of safety regulation strategies for the government from the macro-level perspective.