Calibrating a spatially distributed conceptual hydrological model using runoff, annual mass balance and winter mass balance

Calibrating a spatially distributed conceptual hydrological model using runoff, annual mass balance and winter mass balance
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.035
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发表时间:
2013-01
影响因子:
6.4
通讯作者:
E. Mayr;W. Hagg;C. Mayer;L. Braun
E. Mayr;W. Hagg;C. Mayer;L. Braun
中科院分区:
地球科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
E. Mayr;W. Hagg;C. Mayer;L. Braun

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我们修改了著名的HBV-ETH模型,开发了一个部分分布式水文模型,能够模拟高度冰川化盆地的径流。通过引入额外的校准标准(年度和冬季冰川质量平衡),我们降低了径流的拟合优度,但改进了对所涉及的积累和消融过程的描述。在从10,000个随机参数集中选择最好的模型参数后,对模型参数进行最终调整,使我们能够找到所有标准都具有可接受误差的参数校准,然后在验证期间通过良好的模型性能来确认。全冰川冬季质量平衡和消融区年质量平衡模拟较好,积累区年质量平衡模拟不准确。对2003年欧洲热浪过程的良好模拟证明,该模式在不同于校准时使用的气象条件下也能提供可靠的结果。
We modified the well-known HBV-ETH model to develop a partially distributed hydrological model that was able to simulate runoff in a highly glacierised basin. By introducing additional calibration criteria (annual and winter glacier mass balance) we reduced the goodness-of-fit for runoff, but improved the description of the accumulation and ablation processes involved. Final adjustment of the model parameters, after choosing the best out of 10,000 random parameter sets, allowed us to find a parameter calibration with acceptable errors for all criteria, which was then confirmed by good model performance during the validation period. The glacier-wide winter mass balance and the annual mass balance in the ablation area were simulated well, while the annual mass balance in the accumulation area showed inaccuracies. Good simulation of the processes during the 2003 heat wave in Europe proved that the model also delivers reliable results for meteorological conditions different from those used during calibration.