Will domestic consumers take up the renewable heat incentive? An analysis of the barriers to heat pump adoption using agent-based modelling
Will domestic consumers take up the renewable heat incentive? An analysis of the barriers to heat pump adoption using agent-based modelling
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2015.05.008
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发表时间：
2015-10
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
J. R. Snape;P. Boait;R. M. Rylatt
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. R. Snape;P. Boait;R. M. Rylatt
英国政府于2014年4月推出了以关税为基础的国内可再生热能激励计划（RHI），以鼓励安装可再生热能技术，作为其碳减排政策的关键组成部分。其中，热泵被认为是最有前途的广泛采用，因此是本文的主题。引入该政策之前的试点研究发现了采用该政策的非财务障碍，例如所涉及的“麻烦因素”，初步数据确实表明采用率低于预期。我们使用基于代理的模型分析了这些非财务障碍，并得出结论，存在一个临界点，超过该临界点，采用率可能会急剧下降。我们认为，RHI对房屋检查和散热器性能的复杂和严格的合规要求可能已经推动了这一点的采用，如果要实现RHI的主要目标，可能需要进一步的干预。
The UK Government introduced the tariff-based domestic Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) in April 2014 to encourage installation of renewable heat technologies as a key component of its carbon reduction policy. Of these, heat pumps are considered to be the most promising for widespread adoption and as such are the subject of this paper. Pilot studies prior to introduction of the policy identified non-financial barriers to uptake, such as the “hassle factor” involved, and initial figures indeed indicate that uptake is lower than expected. We analyse these non-financial barriers using an agent-based model and conclude that there is a tipping point beyond which adoption is likely to fall very sharply. We suggest that the RHI’s complex and stringent compliance requirements for home inspections and heat emitter performance may well have driven adoption past this point and that further intervention may be required if the key aims of the RHI are to be achieved.