“Phasic” metropolitan settlers: a phase-based model for the distribution of households in US metropolitan regions
“Phasic” metropolitan settlers: a phase-based model for the distribution of households in US metropolitan regions
复制标题
“阶段性”大都市定居者：美国大都市地区家庭分布的阶段模型
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Heris
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
H. Estiri;Andy Krause;M. Heris
在这篇文章中，我们开发了一个模型来解释在美国大都市地区的家庭分布的空间格局。首先，我们使用住房消费和住宅流动性理论，构建一个假设的概率分布函数的住房服务消费跨越三个阶段的家庭寿命。然后，我们假设第二个概率分布函数的基础上提供的住房服务的距离城市中心（S）在大都市规模。交叉的两个假设的概率函数，我们开发了一个基于阶段的模型，在美国大都市地区的家庭分布。我们认为，第一阶段的家庭（年轻人）更有可能居住在中心城市的位置，而第二和第三阶段的家庭更有可能选择郊区的位置，由于各自的住房消费行为。我们提供了我们的理论模型与2010年美国人口普查的数据为35个大都市地区的实证验证。
In this article, we develop a model for explaining spatial patterns in the distribution of households across metropolitan regions in the United States. First, we use housing consumption and residential mobility theories to construct a hypothetical probability distribution function for the consumption of housing services across three phases of household life span. We then hypothesize a second probability distribution function for the offering of housing services based on the distance from city center(s) at the metropolitan scale. Intersecting the two hypothetical probability functions, we develop a phase-based model for the distribution of households in US metropolitan regions. We argue that phase one households (young adults) are more likely to reside in central city locations, whereas phase two and three households are more likely to select suburban locations, due to their respective housing consumption behaviors. We provide empirical validation of our theoretical model with the data from the 2010 US Census for 35 large metropolitan regions.