Exploring the Demand-Supply Gap of Electricity in Nigeria: Locational Evaluation for Capacity Expansions
Exploring the Demand-Supply Gap of Electricity in Nigeria: Locational Evaluation for Capacity Expansions
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探索尼日利亚电力供需缺口：产能扩张的区位评估
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
I. Davidson
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
O. Ogunrinde;E. Shittu;M. Bello;I. Davidson
为了解决尼日利亚电力需求和供应的总体赤字问题，需要采取务实、循序渐进的方法来扩大发电能力。大量研究通过全面的解决策略阐述了根本问题。然而，许多建议的解决方案要么成本太高，要么系统合并它们的适应能力有限。本文提出了一种根据国家各州和地区的能源区位距离扩大供应能力的阶梯式方法。在这项研究中，我们将能量位置距离解释为从两个问题的答案中得出的度量。首先，发电量比分布在全国各地为国家电网服务的现有发电厂的发电量低了多少？其次，为实现全国能源贫困地区设定的能源密度或人均能源指数，产能扩张的最低门槛是多少？通过这一探索，尼日利亚的能源规划者可以考虑采取一种零敲碎打的方法，而不是寻求一步解决该国电力供应不足的问题，这种方法确实可以提供巨大且相对显着的产能扩张。这一结果为政策制定者和投资者提供了指导，指导他们如何以一种类似于在众所周知的影响树木层面的变化而不是寻求改变森林的背景下看待问题的方式制定投资工作。
To address the gross deficit in electricity demand and supply in Nigeria requires a pragmatic and sequential approach to expanding generation capacity. Numerous studies have expatiated on the underlying problems with solution strategies that are comprehensive. However, many of those suggested solutions are either too steep cost-wise or the system is limited in the adaptive capacity to incorporate them. This paper proffers a stepped approach at expanding the capacity of supply as a function of the energy locational distance of the states and regions in the country. In this research, we interpret energy locational distance as a measure that is derived from the answer to two questions. First, how much is generation below the output capacity of the existing generating plants that are stationed across the country serving the national grid? Second, what is the minimum threshold of capacity expansion to achieve a set energy density or energy per person index across the regions of the country differentiated by energy poverty? With this exploration, energy planners in Nigeria, rather than seeking to address the dearth of electricity supply in the country in one step, could consider a piecemeal approach that indeed offers tremendous and relatively significant expansions in capacity. This outcome offers guidance to policy makers and investors on how to craft their investment efforts in a manner that is akin to viewing the problem at the proverbial context of effecting changes at the tree level rather than seeking to change the forest.
投资可再生能源：协调区域政策与可再生能源增长
影响因子：
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作者：
Ogunrinde, Olawale;Shittu, Ekundayo;Dhanda, Kanwalroop Kathy
通讯作者：
Dhanda, Kanwalroop Kathy