Modeling of Alternate Bearing in Satsuma Mandarin Linear Dynamic Model Based on Ensemble Data Set for Harvested Fruits Number
Modeling of Alternate Bearing in Satsuma Mandarin Linear Dynamic Model Based on Ensemble Data Set for Harvested Fruits Number
复制标题
基于收获果实数集合数据集的蜜柑线性动力模型交替轴承建模
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Sasao
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yuko;Noguchi;Kenshi;Sakai;Shinichi;Asada;L. Garciano;Akira;Sasao
本文建立了一个描述温州蜜柑大津永吾交替结果的动态模型。本研究采用了两种模型：动态模型和结合叶片中无机物质（N、P、K、Ca、Mg）的动态模型。为了消除过度拟合的可能性，所有模型都通过交叉验证进行了检查。果树科学界虽已探索出一套利用化学成分预测产量的方法，但至今尚无定论。而动力学模型和加入无机物的动力学模型在交叉验证中表现出较高的精度。结果表明，柑橘果实的交替结果背后存在潜在的动态。[关键词]温州蜜柑，大津龙吾，交替结果，混沌，动力学，RRMSE，交叉验证
This paper develops a dynamic model to describe alternate bearing in the Satsuma mandarin Otsu Yongo. We employed two types of model : dynamic model and dynamic model incorporated with inorganic substances in leaves (N, P, K, Ca, Mg). In order to remove the possibility of over-fitting, all models were checked by cross validation. No methodology to predict production by chemical contents in trees is still settled in fruit tree science, though it has been searched. However, The dynamic model and dynamic models incorporated with inorganic substances showed quite high accuracy in the cross validation. The results imply the existence of underlying dynamics behind the alternate bearing of citrus fruit. [Keywords] Satsuma mandarin, Otsu Yongo, alternate bearing, chaos, dynamics, RRMSE, cross validation