The relationship between static and dynamic risk factors and reconviction in a sample of U.K. child abusers.
The relationship between static and dynamic risk factors and reconviction in a sample of U.K. child abusers.
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DOI：
10.1177/107906320201400206
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发表时间：
2002-04-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Hanson, R Karl
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Beech, Anthony;Friendship, Caroline;Hanson, R Karl
本研究探讨如何以及历史信息和心理测量数据预测性惯犯的虐待儿童的样本进行基于群体的认知行为治疗的社区。静态，历史因素，如静态-99（R。K. Hanson & D. Thornton，2000），显著预测了6年随访期内的再犯率。高风险男性因性犯罪而被重新定罪的可能性是低风险男性的5倍以上。增加动态风险的心理测量（例如，亲犯罪态度，社会情感问题）大大提高了风险预测的准确性，超过了静态因素的精算评估所达到的水平。这一结果表明，在任何全面的风险协议中考虑动态风险因素的重要性。
This study examined how well historical information and psychometric data predicted sexual recidivism in a sample of child abusers about to undergo group-based cognitive behavioral treatment in the community. Static, historical factors, as measured by the Static-99 (R. K. Hanson & D. Thornton, 2000), significantly predicted recidivism over the 6-year follow-up period. High-risk men were over 5 times more likely to be reconvicted for a sexual offence compared to low-risk men. Adding psychometric measures of dynamic risk (e.g., pro-offending attitudes, socio-affective problems) significantly increased the accuracy of risk prediction beyond the level achieved by the actuarial assessment of static factors. This result indicates the importance of considering dynamic risk factors in any comprehensive risk protocol.