Political Economy of the Kyoto Protocol
Political Economy of the Kyoto Protocol
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京都议定书的政治经济学
DOI：
10.1093/oxrep/14.4.20
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发表时间：
1998
影响因子：
6.8
通讯作者：
S. Barrett
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Barrett
1997年12月谈判达成的《京都议定书》是第一个限制温室气体排放的国际条约。但《京都议定书》并不标志着气候变化国际合作的结束。这真的只是一个开始。这份文件表明，总的来说，承担《京都议定书》减排的收益应该超过相应的成本--前提是这些收益是以成本效益实现的。但是，尽管《京都议定书》寻求提高成本效益，但它仍可能被证明代价高昂。此外，该协议甚至可能无法实现其承诺的减排，要么是因为排放量将转移到不需要限制在《京都议定书》规定的上限内的国家，要么是因为议定书的机制将促进“纸质”贸易。更根本的是，《京都议定书》并没有阻止不遵守，它只是微弱地阻止了不参与。这些缺陷需要修补，但问题的性质使这一任务变得特别困难。牛津大学出版社版权所有1998年。
The Kyoto Protocol, negotiated in December 1997, is the first international treaty to limit emissions of greenhouse gases. But Kyoto does not mark the conclusion to international cooperation on climate change. It is really just a beginning. This paper shows that, in the aggregate, the benefits of undertaking the Kyoto reductions should exceed the corresponding costs-provided these are achieved cost-effectively. But, although Kyoto seeks to promote cost-effectiveness, it may yet prove very costly. Moreover, the agreement may not even achieve the reductions that it promises, either because emissions will relocate to the countries that are not required to stay within Kyoto-prescribed ceilings or because "paper" trades will be promoted by the protocol's mechanisms. More fundamentally, Kyoto does not deter non-compliance, and it only weakly deters non-participation. These flaws need to be mended, but the nature of the problem makes that an especially difficult task. Copyright 1998 by Oxford University Press.