Simple Clinical Risk Score Identifies Patients with Serrated Polyps in Routine Practice
Simple Clinical Risk Score Identifies Patients with Serrated Polyps in Routine Practice
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DOI:
10.1158/1940-6207.capr-13-0022
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发表时间:
2013-08-01
影响因子:
3.3
通讯作者:
Sanduleanu, Silvia
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bouwens, Marielle W. E.;Winkens, Bjorn;Sanduleanu, Silvia
Large, proximal, or dysplastic (LPD) serrated polyps (SP) need accurate endoscopic recognition and removal as these might progress to colorectal cancer. Herewith, we examined the risk factors for having >= 1 LPD SP. We developed and validated a simple SP risk score as a potential tool for improving their detection. We reviewed clinical, endoscopic, and histologic features of serrated polyps in a study of patients undergoing elective colonoscopy (derivation cohort). A self-administered questionnaire was obtained. We conducted logistic regression analyses to identify independent risk factors for having >= 1 LPD SP and incorporated significant variables into a clinical score. We subsequently tested the performance of the SP score in a validation cohort. We examined 2,244 patients in the derivation and 2,402 patients in the validation cohort; 6.3% and 8.2% had >= 1 LPD SP, respectively. Independent risk factors for LPD SPs were age of more than 50 years [OR 2.2; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.3-3.8; P = 0.004], personal history of serrated polyps (OR 2.6; 95% CI, 1.3-4.9; P = 0.005), current smoking (OR 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4-3.6; P = 0.001), and nondaily/no aspirin use (OR 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.0; P = 0.016). In the validation cohort, a SP score > 5 points was associated with a 3.0-fold increased odds for LPD SPs, compared with patients with a score < 5 points. In the present study, age of more than 50 years, a personal history of serrated polyps, current smoking, and nondaily/no aspirin use were independent risk factors for having LPD SPs. The SP score might aid the endoscopist in the detection of such lesions.