Microsimulation of Hurricane Evacuation Strategies of Galveston Island
Microsimulation of Hurricane Evacuation Strategies of Galveston Island
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DOI：
10.1080/00330120701873645
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发表时间：
2008-05
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Xuwei Chen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Xuwei Chen
本文研究了基于代理的微观仿真技术的有效性，同时和分阶段疏散策略的加尔维斯顿岛飓风疏散。在同时疏散策略中，通知全体居民同时疏散，而在分阶段疏散策略中，通知人们按顺序疏散。研究结果表明：（1）最有效的分阶段疏散策略可以将加尔维斯顿岛的疏散时间缩短约1小时;（2）以往的研究可能低估了加尔维斯顿岛的疏散时间;（3）快速反应假设下的疏散不一定会导致有效的疏散。
This article investigates the effectiveness of simultaneous and staged evacuation strategies for hurricane evacuations of Galveston Island using agent-based microsimulation techniques. In the simultaneous strategy the entire population is informed to evacuate simultaneously, whereas in a staged evacuation strategy, people are informed to evacuate in a sequence. The results suggest that (1) the most efficient staged evacuation strategy can help reduce the evacuation time for Galveston Island by approximately one hour, (2) previous studies might have underestimated the evacuation time of Galveston, and (3) an evacuation under the rapid response assumption does not necessarily lead to an effective evacuation.