Prognostic significance of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with dose-escalated intensity modulated radiation therapy and concurrent full-dose gemcitabine: analysis of a prospective phase 1/2 dose escalation study.
Prognostic significance of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with dose-escalated intensity modulated radiation therapy and concurrent full-dose gemcitabine: analysis of a prospective phase 1/2 dose escalation study.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.ijrobp.2012.11.020
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发表时间:
2013-05-01
影响因子:
7
通讯作者:
Ben-Josef, Edgar
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Vainshtein, Jeffrey M.;Schipper, Matthew;Zalupski, Mark M.;Lawrence, Theodore S.;Abrams, Ross;Francis, Isaac R.;Khan, Gazala;Leslie, William;Ben-Josef, Edgar
Although established in the postresection setting, the prognostic value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) is less clear. We examined the prognostic utility of CA19-9 in patients with unresectable LAPC treated on a prospective trial of intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) dose escalation with concurrent gemcitabine. Forty-six patients with unresectable LAPC were treated at the University of Michigan on a phase 1/2 trial of IMRT dose escalation with concurrent gemcitabine. CA19-9 was obtained at baseline and during routine follow-up. Cox models were used to assess the effect of baseline factors on freedom from local progression (FFLP), distant progression (FFDP), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Stepwise forward regression was used to build multivariate predictive models for each endpoint. Thirty-eight patients were eligible for the present analysis. On univariate analysis, baseline CA19-9 and age predicted OS, CA19-9 at baseline and 3 months predicted PFS, gross tumor volume (GTV) and black race predicted FFLP, and CA19-9 at 3 months predicted FFDP. On stepwise multivariate regression modeling, baseline CA19-9, age, and female sex predicted OS; baseline CA19-9 and female sex predicted both PFS and FFDP; and GTV predicted FFLP. Patients with baseline CA19-9 ≤90 U/mL had improved OS (median 23.0 vs 11.1 months, HR 2.88, P<.01) and PFS (14.4 vs 7.0 months, HR 3.61, P = .001). CA19-9 progression over 90 U/mL was prognostic for both OS (HR 3.65, P = .001) and PFS (HR 3.04, P = .001), and it was a stronger predictor of death than either local progression (HR 1.46, P = .42) or distant progression (HR 3.31, P = .004). In patients with unresectable LAPC undergoing definitive chemoradiation therapy, baseline CA19-9 was independently prognostic even after established prognostic factors were controlled for, whereas CA19-9 progression strongly predicted disease progression and death. Future trials should stratify by baseline CA19-9 and incorporate CA19-9 progression as a criterion for progressive disease.
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影响因子:
45.3
作者:
Ferrone, Cristina R.;Finkelstein, Dianne M.;Warshaw, Andrew L.
通讯作者:
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影响因子:
45.3
作者:
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影响因子:
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作者:
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通讯作者:
Rosemurgy, Alexander
DOI:
10.1016/s0360-3016(98)00058-3
发表时间:
1998-05-01
影响因子:
7
作者:
Katz, A;Hanlon, A;Coia, L
通讯作者:
Coia, L
DOI:
10.1016/j.ijrobp.2012.02.051
发表时间:
2012-12-01
影响因子:
7
作者:
Ben-Josef, Edgar;Schipper, Mathew;Zalupski, Mark M.
通讯作者:
Zalupski, Mark M.