Accurate by way of aggregation: Should you trust your intuition-based first impressions?
Accurate by way of aggregation: Should you trust your intuition-based first impressions?
复制标题
通过聚合方式准确：您应该相信基于直觉的第一印象吗？
DOI：
10.1016/j.jesp.2012.11.005
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发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Noah Eisenkraft
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Noah Eisenkraft
How much should you trust your intuition about other people's job performance? Different literatures provide different answers to this question. Social psychological research on “thin slices” suggests that untrained observers can predict a person's job performance based on a few moments of observation. Industrial/organizational psychologists have found a weaker relationship between job performance and the intuitive judgments that people make following employment interviews. This paper argues that interviewers' intuitive judgments appear to be weaker predictors than intuitive judgments of thin slices because thin slices research measures predictive validity at the aggregate-level of analysis. Intuition-based first impressions will not usually be valid predictors of job performance unless people have an opportunity to collect and combine the judgments of multiple independent raters.
