State alcohol policies, teen drinking and traffic fatalities

State alcohol policies, teen drinking and traffic fatalities
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DOI:
10.1016/s0047-2727(98)00093-0
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发表时间:
1999-05-01
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Dee, TS
Dee, TS
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dee, TS

文献摘要

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这项实证研究在模型中评估了青少年饮酒的政策响应能力,该模型可以以未观察到的州特定属性为条件,这些属性可能会使传统评估产生偏差。结果表明,跨州异质性可能很重要,而且啤酒税对青少年饮酒的影响相对较小且在统计上不显着。青少年交通死亡模型还表明,传统的啤酒税弹性对于遗漏变量的额外控制并不稳健。这些被忽略的变量的重要性可以通过反事实来说明,该反事实将夜间死亡模型与白天发生的死亡模型进行比较,而白天的饮酒率要低得多。 (C) 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. 保留所有权利。
This empirical study evaluates the policy responsiveness of teen drinking in models that can condition on the unobserved state-specific attributes that may have biased conventional evaluations. The results demonstrate that cross-state heterogeneity can be important and that beer taxes have relatively small and statistically insignificant effects on teen drinking. Models of youth traffic fatalities also indicate that the conventional beer tax elasticities are not robust to additional controls for omitted variables. The importance of these omitted variables is illustrated by a counterfactual which compares models of nighttime fatalities to those that occur in the daytime when the rate of alcohol involvement is substantially lower. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.