ESTIMATING INFANT-MORTALITY TRENDS FROM CHILD SURVIVORSHIP DATA
ESTIMATING INFANT-MORTALITY TRENDS FROM CHILD SURVIVORSHIP DATA
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DOI：
10.1080/00324728.1980.10412839
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发表时间：
1980-01-01
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
FEENEY, G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
FEENEY, G
Brass根据按年龄组分列的妇女所生子女人数和存活子女人数的普查或调查数据估计死亡率的程序得到推广，以便能够估计死亡率趋势。新程序适用于哥斯达黎加和马来西亚半岛的数据。将由此得出的婴儿死亡率估计数与根据生命登记数字计算的死亡率进行比较。令人惊讶的是，这些比较表明，从30-50岁妇女的统计数据得出的估计数并没有明显低于从20-30岁妇女的统计数据得出的估计数。这表明，忽视30岁或35岁以上妇女统计数据的普遍做法可能是错误的。所提供的数字表明，根据20岁以下妇女作出的估计很可能有很大的偏差，因为婴儿死亡率因母亲出生时的年龄而异。
Brass's procedure for estimating mortality from census or survey data on numbers of children born to women by age group and numbers of children surviving is generalized to allow the estimation of mortality trends. The new procedure is applied to data for Costa Rica and peninsular Malaysia. The resulting infant mortality rate estimates are compared with rates calculated from vital registration figures. The comparisons suggest, surprisingly, that the estimates derived from statistics for women aged 30–50 are not noticeably inferior to those derived from those for women aged 20–30. This suggests that the common practice of disregarding statistics for women aged over 30 or 35 years may be a mistake. Figures are presented which suggest that estimates based on women aged less than 20 are likely to be very seriously biased because of differential infant mortality by age of mother at birth.