Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene
Bright spots: seeds of a good Anthropocene
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DOI：
10.1002/fee.1309
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发表时间：
2016-10-01
影响因子：
10.3
通讯作者：
Xu, Jianchu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bennett, Elena M.;Solan, Martin;Xu, Jianchu
人类对环境影响的规模、速度和强度引发了广泛的讨论，讨论如何找到最有希望在人类世创造更美好未来的合理发展途径。然而，不可逆转的环境退化和社会崩溃的反乌托邦愿景占据主导地位，加上沿着过于乐观的乌托邦和缺乏洞察力和创新的一切照旧的设想，阻碍了进展。在这里，我们提出了一种思考未来的新方法，该方法建立在从各种实践、世界观、价值观和地区中汲取的经验基础上，这些经验可以加速采用变革性变革（超越渐进式改进的变革）的途径。通过对100项倡议或“良好人类世的种子”的分析，我们发现，强调现有实践中有希望的因素提供了机会：（1）理解构成良好人类世的价值观和特征，（2）确定导致从根本上改变人类与环境关系的举措的出现和发展的过程，以及（3）产生创造性，自下而上的情景，其特征是通向更积极未来的明确途径。
The scale, rate, and intensity of humans' environmental impact has engendered broad discussion about how to find plausible pathways of development that hold the most promise for fostering a better future in the Anthropocene. However, the dominance of dystopian visions of irreversible environmental degradation and societal collapse, along with overly optimistic utopias and business-as-usual scenarios that lack insight and innovation, frustrate progress. Here, we present a novel approach to thinking about the future that builds on experiences drawn from a diversity of practices, worldviews, values, and regions that could accelerate the adoption of pathways to transformative change (change that goes beyond incremental improvements). Using an analysis of 100 initiatives, or "seeds of a good Anthropocene", we find that emphasizing hopeful elements of existing practice offers the opportunity to: (1) understand the values and features that constitute a good Anthropocene, (2) determine the processes that lead to the emergence and growth of initiatives that fundamentally change human-environmental relationships, and (3) generate creative, bottom-up scenarios that feature well-articulated pathways toward a more positive future.