It's the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location
It's the Local Economy, Stupid! Geographic Wealth Dispersion and Conflict Outbreak Location
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DOI：
10.1177/0022002711408011
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发表时间：
2011-10-01
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Tollefsen, Andreas Foro
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Buhaug, Halvard;Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede;Tollefsen, Andreas Foro
各国的收入差别很大，发生冲突的地点很少具有典型性或代表性。然而，大多数关于冲突的研究只考察了国民收入平均数，而忽视了空间差异。作者认为，国内冲突更有可能在绝对收入低的地区爆发，即使一个国家的人均国内生产总值（GDP）不一定很低，并且在与全国平均水平有很大偏差的地区爆发。作者使用关于冲突爆发地点和人均收入估计数的空间分类数据对这些假设进行了实证检验。作者发现，绝对贫困地区确实会爆发更多的冲突，他们发现一些证据表明不平等会增加冲突的风险。国家以下一级的信息可以改进以国家为基础的常规措施，并帮助我们了解地方特征和差异如何能够引起动员和暴力。
Income varies considerably within countries and the locations where conflicts emerge are rarely typical or representative for states at large. Yet, most research on conflict has only examined national income averages and neglected spatial variation. The authors argue that civil conflicts are more likely to erupt in areas with low absolute income, even if a country's gross domestic product (GDP) per capita is not necessarily low, and in areas with large deviations from national averages. The authors test these hypotheses empirically using spatially disaggregated data on the location of conflict outbreaks and per capita income estimates. The authors find that areas with absolute poverty indeed see more outbreaks of conflict, and they find some evidence that inequality increases the risk of conflict. Subnational information can improve on conventional country-based measures and help our understanding of how local features and variation can give rise to mobilization and violence.