Multi Criteria Decision Making to evaluate control strategies of contagious animal diseases
Multi Criteria Decision Making to evaluate control strategies of contagious animal diseases
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DOI：
10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.06.010
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发表时间：
2010-09-01
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Huirne, R. B. M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Mourits, M. C. M.;van Asseldonk, M. A. P. M.;Huirne, R. B. M.
决定在控制传染性动物疾病中使用哪种策略涉及多个目标之间的复杂权衡。本文介绍了一个多标准决策（MCDM）的应用程序，以说明其潜在的支持决策者在选择控制策略，最好地满足所有的冲突利益。本申请的重点是根据欧洲首席兽医官（CVO）的偏好，评价控制欧盟（EU）内猪瘟（CSF）流行的替代策略。所进行的分析集中在流行病学、经济学和社会伦理学这三个高层次目标上。评价的控制方案包括欧盟的强制控制策略、先发制人的屠宰策略、保护性疫苗接种策略和抑制性疫苗接种策略，并利用得到的CVOs的平均偏好权重，确定了欧盟6个地区对控制方案的偏好排序。所获得的结果强调了欧盟区域具体控制的必要性，各个CVO对判断替代品性能的各种（次级）标准的相对重要性有不同的看法。然而，在一个区域内的控制替代品的个人排名出现令人惊讶的相似。基于所描述的应用程序的结果，可以得出结论，MCDM技术的结构特征提供了一个合适的工具，在协助控制传染性动物疾病的复杂的决策过程。(C)2010 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
The decision on which strategy to use in the control of contagious animal diseases involves complex trade-offs between multiple objectives. This paper describes a Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) application to illustrate its potential support to policy makers in choosing the control strategy that best meets all of the conflicting interests. The presented application focused on the evaluation of alternative strategies to control Classical Swine Fever (CSF) epidemics within the European Union (EU) according to the preferences of the European Chief Veterinary Officers (CVO). The performed analysis was centred on the three high-level objectives of epidemiology, economics and social ethics. The appraised control alternatives consisted of the EU compulsory control strategy, a pre-emptive slaughter strategy, a protective vaccination strategy and a suppressive vaccination strategy.Using averaged preference weights of the elicited CVOs, the preference ranking of the control alternatives was determined for six EU regions. The obtained results emphasized the need for EU region-specific control.Individual CVOs differed in their views on the relative importance of the various (sub)criteria by which the performance of the alternatives were judged. Nevertheless, the individual rankings of the control alternatives within a region appeared surprisingly similar.Based on the results of the described application it was concluded that the structuring feature of the MCDM technique provides a suitable tool in assisting the complex decision making process of controlling contagious animal diseases. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.