Testing the greenhouse gas emissions reduction potential of alternative strategies for the english housing stock

Testing the greenhouse gas emissions reduction potential of alternative strategies for the english housing stock
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测试英国住房替代策略的温室气体减排潜力

DOI:
10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.02.001
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发表时间:
2019
期刊:
Resources, Conservation and Recycling
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Cabrera Serrenho A
Cabrera Serrenho A
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Cabrera Serrenho A

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建筑排放量约占全球能源和过程排放量的三分之一,但其减排量远低于其他行业。尽管已经制定了新建筑和改造方案的明确标准,并且能够减少建筑排放,但仍需要明确政策方案的优先顺序,以便能够以最低成本实现最大程度的减排。这需要根据改进建筑标准的采用速度以及为满足当前气候目标而实现的减排量来评估新建和改造之间的权衡。本文采用动态物质流分析来探讨综合缓解策略对能够减少英国国内住宅的隐含排放和运营排放的新建和现有建筑的影响。结果表明,在建筑中使用低碳材料和大规模部署零碳建筑方面取得的进展不足以实现国家要求的建筑排放量减少规模(到 2050 年,比目前水平减少 66%)。提高新建和既有建筑的建筑标准对于实现目标至关重要,但如果不通过促进灵活的建筑设计、住房共享或远程办公来减少人均建筑面积的需求,其成本可能是不合理的,这可能会对社会组织和城市规划产生深远的影响。
Buildings account for around a third of global energy and process emissions, but have been delivering much smaller emissions savings than other sectors. Although clear standards of new building construction and retrofitting options have been developed and are able to reduce building emissions, there is need for a clear prioritisation of policy options capable of delivering the greatest reduction in emissions at minimal costs. This requires an assessment of the trade-offs between new construction and retrofitting in terms of the pace of adoption of improved building standards and the emissions savings achieved to meet current climate targets. In this paper, a dynamic material flow analysis is used to explore the impact of combined mitigation strategies on both new and existing buildings capable of reducing embodied and operational emissions in the English domestic housing stock. The results show that progress in the use of low carbon materials in construction and the deployment of zero-carbon buildings at scale would not be enough to deliver a reduction of building emissions of the scale required nationally (–66% from current levels by 2050). Improvement in building standards for both new and pre-existing construction is essential to meet targets, but its costs are likely to be unreasonable without a reduction in the demand for floor area per capita by promoting flexible design of buildings, house sharing or telecommuting, which are likely to produce far-reaching implications in social organisation and urban planning.
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