Application of Monte Carlo techniques with delay-time analysis to assess maintenance and inspection policies for marine systems
Application of Monte Carlo techniques with delay-time analysis to assess maintenance and inspection policies for marine systems
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DOI：
10.1177/0954408915577336
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发表时间：
2017-04
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. McNamara;A. Cunningham;R. Riahi;I. Jenkinson;J. Wang
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文献类型：
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作者：
D. McNamara;A. Cunningham;R. Riahi;I. Jenkinson;J. Wang
本文提出了一种新颖的方法，应用蒙特卡罗方法和延迟时间分析来测试定期维护和检查行动对影响退化海洋系统运行效率的因素的影响。目的是演示如何使用纳入延迟时间分析的蒙特卡罗模型来预测所分析系统的过渡行为。本文提出的模型重点关注各种维护和检查策略对系统故障概率和停机时间的影响。还调查了对备件需求的影响。
This paper presents a novel methodology applying Monte Carlo methods with delay-time analysis to test the effects of scheduled maintenance and inspection actions on factors affecting the operational efficiency of a marine system which is subject to degradation. The aim is to demonstrate how a Monte Carlo model incorporated into delay-time analysis can be used to predict the transition behaviour of a system under analysis. The model presented in this paper focuses on the effects on system failure probability and downtime of various maintenance and inspection policies. The impact on spare part requirements is also investigated.