Event and Anticipation: UK Civil Contingencies and the Space-Times of Decision
Event and Anticipation: UK Civil Contingencies and the Space-Times of Decision
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事件与预期：英国民事突发事件和决策的时空
DOI：
10.1068/a43576
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发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Adey P
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Adey P
安全和决策之间的关系是什么？当事件以不可预测的、偶然的方式展开时，应该如何做出决定？在不同的安全环境中，决策是如何做出和构成的？本文借鉴了在英国民事突发事件，网站中的“多机构”响应者作出决定的事件，构成了一系列的危机，故障和中断的“战略”演习的意见。英国民事或有事项与决定之间的关系十分复杂，这对将“主权决定”作为优先行为的方法的主导地位提出了挑战。一方面，应急规划者的梦想是建立一个分散的预期系统，而不需要决策事件，在这个系统中，一组分散的响应者在事件发生时就准备好立即采取行动，并遵循如何联系和共同行动的协议。另一方面，面对事件的偶然性和反应网络的可变性，决策不会被抹去、自动化或推迟，而是激增，有时很难做出。面对事件可能发生的情况，也就是说，面对事件的潜在性，以及重要的是，面对应对的复杂性，必须不断决定与谁合作以及如何行动。在本文中，我们探讨了安全和决策之间的关系，概述了如何在应急规划的“演习”功能作为一个特权网站的分期和执行的决定。
What is the relation between security and a decision? How should decisions be taken as events unfold in unpredictable, aleatory, ways? And how are decisions made and constituted in particular and therefore differential security contexts? The paper draws on observations of ‘strategic’ exercises in UK Civil Contingencies, sites in which ‘multiagency’ responders take decisions in relation to the events that make up a range of crises, breakdowns, and interruptions. UK Civil Contingencies has a complicated relation with decision which challenges the predominance of approaches which prioritise the ‘sovereign decision’ as a preemptive act. On the one hand, the dream of emergency planners is of a decentred anticipatory system without the need for the event of decision, in which a distributed set of responders are primed to snap into action at the onset of an event and to follow protocols for how to connect and act together. On the other hand, and faced with the contingency of events and the mutability of the response network, decision is not erased, automated, or deferred but proliferates and, sometimes, is very difficult to make. Decisions have to constantly be taken about who to act with and how to act when faced with what the event could become: that is, when faced by the event's potential and, importantly, the complexity of response. In the paper we explore the relation between security and decision by outlining how the ‘exercise’ functions within emergency planning as a privileged site for the staging and performing of decisions.