Testing Gateway Theory: do cigarette prices affect illicit drug use?

Testing Gateway Theory: do cigarette prices affect illicit drug use?
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DOI:
10.1016/s0167-6296(02)00009-7
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发表时间:
2002-07-01
影响因子:
3.5
通讯作者:
Rahav, G
Rahav, G
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Beenstock, M;Rahav, G

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We test the causal Gateway Theory of drug use dynamics by way of a natural experiment. We randomize cigarette smoking by birth cohort and cigarette prices. We use data for Israel to show that while cigarette smoking causes cannabis use, the evidence that cannabis use causes hard drug use is much weaker. These results are based on various econometric methodologies including two-stage logit (2SL), bivariate probit, and frailty analysis for survival data. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.