The Processing of Primary Commodities: Effects of Developed-Country Tariff Escalation and Developing-Country Export Taxes
The Processing of Primary Commodities: Effects of Developed-Country Tariff Escalation and Developing-Country Export Taxes
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初级商品加工：发达国家关税升级和发展中国家出口税的影响
DOI：
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发表时间：
1979
影响因子：
8.2
通讯作者：
J. Finger
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Stephen S. Golub;J. Finger
DC（发达国家）的关税和LDC（发展中国家）的出口税都“升级”，以保护当地初级商品的加工商。本文建立了一个南北商品贸易的分析模型，用于估计这些贸易壁垒的互惠消除对八种商品的影响。据估计，最不发达国家的加工将增长9%，最不发达国家的加工将下降不到1%。八种商品样本的最不发达国家出口收入将增加11%，或略高于10亿美元（基于1973年的贸易流量），这大大超过了普遍优惠制的估计效果。
Both DC (developed country) tariffs and LDC (developing country) export taxes are "escalated" to protect local processors of primary commodities. The paper develops an analytical model of north-south commodity trade which is used to estimate the effects of reciprocal elimination of these trade barriers for eight commodities. It is estimated that processing would increase by 9 percent in the LDCs and decline by less than 1 percent in the DCs. The LDC export revenue for the eight-commodity sample would increase by 11 percent, or just over $1 billion (based on 1973 trade flows), which is considerably more than the estimated effect of the Generalized System of Preferences.