Probability assignments to dispositions in ontologies

Probability assignments to dispositions in ontologies
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本体中处置的概率分配

DOI:
10.3233/978-1-61499-084-0-3
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发表时间:
2012
期刊:
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. Duvauferrier
R. Duvauferrier
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
A. Barton;Anita Burgun;R. Duvauferrier

文献摘要

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我们在Popper的倾向方法的基础上研究了如何将概率分配给本体论中的倾向。我们证明,如果D是与触发T和实现R相关联的倾向全称,并且D是D的一个实例,那么人们可以为三元组(D,T,R)和(D,T,R)分配一个概率。这些概率衡量了配置的因果能力,它可以定义为触发R实例的T的可能实例的相对频率的极限,超过满足某些条件的T的可能实例的假设无限随机序列。采用可错论的方法,这些概率值可以通过实际有限序列中的相对频率来估计。
We investigate how probabilities can be assigned to dispositions in ontologies, building on Popper's propensity approach. We show that if D is a disposition universal associated with a trigger T and a realization R, and d is an instance of D, then one can assign a probability to the triplets (d,T,R) and (D,T,R). These probabilities measure the causal power of dispositions, which can be defined as limits of relative frequencies of possible instances of T triggering an instance of R over a hypothetical infinite random sequence of possible instances of T satisfying certain conditions. Adopting a fallibilist methodology, these probability values can be estimated by relative frequencies in actual finite sequences.