Use of online weather information in everyday decision‐making by laypeople and implications for communication of weather information
Use of online weather information in everyday decision‐making by laypeople and implications for communication of weather information
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外行人在日常决策中使用在线天气信息以及对天气信息传播的影响
DOI：
10.1002/met.1588
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发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
2.7
通讯作者：
S. D. Kolstø
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Anders Doksæter Sivle;S. D. Kolstø
许多人使用天气预报来计划他们的活动。以前对这种类型的决策的研究主要关注的是使用从完整的天气报告中分离出来的选定信息。因此，这项研究包含两个重点领域：（1）影响外行人日常决策所使用的完整天气报告信息量的因素;（2）在决策过程中如何处理完整天气报告中信息的复杂性。在这项定性研究中，对来自挪威的21人进行了半结构化访谈。农民，外部画家，导游，教师和学生被纳入样本中，以获得公平的用户情况的数量的差异。访谈集中在一个多模态天气报告从在线网络服务www.yr.no.在本研究中，不同数量的信息被使用的参与者在他们的决策;此外，使用的信息量似乎取决于（1）的重要性，设想的活动和（2）天气条件的适合性。必须减少信息量（即复杂性）以做出快速决策，这通常是通过（1）选择合适的起点并省略（2）天气动态和（3）预测不确定性的评估来实现的。在天气报告中传达多种表示似乎有利于使用不同类型和数量的信息，从而允许快速和更详细的决策过程。
Many people use weather reports to plan their activities. Previous studies on this type of decision‐making have been concerned primarily with the use of selected pieces of information detached from the context of a full weather report. Therefore, this study contains two areas of focus: (1) factors influencing the amount of information from a full weather report that is used by laypeople for everyday decision‐making and (2) how the complexity in information in a full weather report is handled in the decision‐making processes. In this qualitative study, semi‐structured interviews were conducted with 21 people from Norway. Farmers, exterior painters, tour guides, teachers and students were included in the sample to obtain a fair variance in the number of user situations. Interviews were centred on a multimodal weather report from the online web service www.yr.no. In the present study, a varying amount of information was used by the participants in their decision‐making; furthermore, the amount of information used appeared to depend on (1) the importance of the envisaged activity and (2) the suitability of the weather conditions. The amount of information (i.e. complexity) had to be reduced to make a quick decision, which typically was accomplished by (1) choosing a suitable starting point and leaving out evaluations of (2) weather dynamics and (3) forecast uncertainty. Communicating a multiplicity of representations in weather reports appears favourable for enabling the use of different types and amounts of information, such that it allows both quick and more elaborate decision‐making processes.
快与慢的思考：跨时间尺度的优化分解
DOI：
10.1109/cdc.2017.8263834
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
56th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control
影响因子：
--
作者：
Goel, Gautam;Chen, Niangjun;Wierman, Adam
通讯作者：
Wierman, Adam