High Speed Rail commuting impacts on labour migration: The case of the concentration of metropolis in the Madrid functional area
High Speed Rail commuting impacts on labour migration: The case of the concentration of metropolis in the Madrid functional area
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DOI：
10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.04.035
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发表时间：
2017-07-01
期刊：
影响因子：
7.1
通讯作者：
Luis Campa, Juan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Guirao, Begona;Lara-Galera, Antonio;Luis Campa, Juan
文献中广泛研究了交通可达性、移徙和劳动力市场区域范围之间的依赖关系。然而，到目前为止，由于高速铁路（HSR）等相对较新的交通技术的支持，由于长途通勤而产生的劳动力迁移很少受到关注。即使是在法国和西班牙这两个有着长期高铁通勤经验的欧洲国家，以及关于高铁影响的大量文献，对高铁对劳动力市场影响的研究也很少。建设和运营高铁线路的高成本以及当前的金融不稳定表明，科学分析高铁的溢出影响是明智的。本文通过对面板数据进行回归分析来模拟高铁对通勤关系中劳动力市场的影响，从而弥补现有文献的不足。考虑到高铁作为一个变量和区域间劳动力流动指标，该模型使用2004-2015年期间汇聚在马德里大都市区的高铁通勤线进行了验证，结果表明高铁是理解劳动合同增长的关键变量。结果还显示，由于未申报工作的高比例和房价下跌，金融危机如何降低了失业率和房价作为重要变量的作用。该模型的局限性还需要进一步研究，即无法估计高铁存在带来的区域差异，以及无法理清高铁通勤流动性、失业率和房价等变量之间的因果关系。
The relations of dependence between transport accessibility, migration and the regional scope of labour markets have been widely studied in the literature. However little attention has been paid so far to labour migration derived from long-distance commuting favoured by relatively new transport technologies such as High Speed Rail (HSR). Even in France or Spain both European countries with long experience in HSR commuting and the subject of extensive literature on its impacts, there has been very little study of the effects on labour markets. The high cost of building and operating HSR lines and the current financial instability point to the advisability of scientifically analysing any HSR spillover impacts.This paper contributes to the limited existing literature by applying a regression analysis to panel data to model the impact of HSR on labour markets in commuting relations. Considering HSR as a variable and interregional labour mobility indicators, the model has been validated using the HSR commuting lines that converge in the Madrid metropolitan area for the period 2004-2015, and reveals that HSR is a key variable for understanding the growth of labour contracts. The results also show how the financial crisis has reduced the role of unemployment rates and housing prices as significant variables due to the high percentage of undeclared work and the fall in housing prices. Further research is needed into the model's limitations, namely the inability to estimate regional disparities derived from the presence of HSR, and the failure to disentangle causes and effects among the variables of HSR commuting mobility, unemployment rates and housing prices.