Intergenerational worklessness in the UK and the role of local labour markets

Intergenerational worklessness in the UK and the role of local labour markets
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英国的代际失业和当地劳动力市场的作用

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发表时间:
2014
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通讯作者:
L. Macmillan
L. Macmillan
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作者:
L. Macmillan

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尽管在过去二十年中,对代际收入流动性的研究有所增加,但很少有人关注代际失业的衡量。这项研究首次提出了对两代新人群的失业期的关联估计,并考虑了当地劳动力市场条件在推动代际关系方面的重要作用。在最近的研究中,父亲没有工作的儿子从放弃全日制教育到23岁的时间比父亲有工作的儿子多11%。如果关注成年后期(23-29岁),这一估计会增加到16%。代际失业随着失业率的增加而增加:低失业率劳动力市场中的儿子有类似的失业经历,无论其父亲在童年时期的就业状况如何,而高失业率劳动力市场中的儿子,如果其父亲在童年时期失业而不是就业,则其失业时间最多可增加30%。
Despite the increase in research on intergenerational income mobility over the past two decades, there has been little focus on measuring intergenerational worklessness. This research is the first to present estimates of the association in workless spells across generations for two new cohorts and to consider the important role of local labour market conditions in driving the intergenerational relationship. In recent cohorts, sons with workless fathers spend 11% more time out of work than sons with employed fathers from leaving full-time education to age 23. This estimate increases to 16% when focussing on later periods of adulthood (23–29). Intergenerational worklessness increases with unemployment: sons in low unemployment labour markets have similar workless experiences, regardless of their father’s employment status in childhood, whilst sons in high unemployment labour markets spend up to 30% more time out of work if their father is workless rather than employed in childhood.