A Broken Public? Americans' Responses to the Great Recession
A Broken Public? Americans' Responses to the Great Recession
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DOI：
10.1177/0003122413498255
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发表时间：
2013-10-01
影响因子：
9.1
通讯作者：
Manza, Jeff
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Brooks, Clem;Manza, Jeff
美国人对最近的大衰退的反应是要求政府提供政策解决方案，以解决日益严重的收入不安全感，这是对大众舆论动态的最先进理论的期望吗？或者，经济衰退削弱了对政府行动主义的支持，这与另一种学术观点相一致，即经济因素产生了相反的影响？我们发现，公众对政府社会项目的支持在2008年至2010年间急剧下降，但固定效应和重复调查分析都表明，经济变化对政策态度的形成几乎没有影响。是什么导致了这些令人惊讶的发展？我们认为替代微观基础强调的重要性，事先的信念和偏见的政策态度的形成。分析一般社会调查小组，我们的结果表明，政治党派一直是核心。盖洛普和“政府与社会评估”调查提供了进一步的证据，反对政府过度扩张的可能令人困惑的情景，即经济衰退期间和奥巴马总统任期内采取的联邦计划将选民从政府中赶走。我们注意到意见形成的理论模型的影响，以及大衰退的党派奖学金和跨学科研究的方向。
Did Americans respond to the recent Great Recession by demanding that government provide policy solutions to rising income insecurity, an expectation of state-of-the-art theorizing on the dynamics of mass opinion? Or did the recession erode support for government activism, in line with alternative scholarship pointing to economic factors having the reverse effect? We find that public support for government social programs declined sharply between 2008 and 2010, yet both fixed-effects and repeated survey analyses suggest economic change had little impact on policy-attitude formation. What accounts for these surprising developments? We consider alternative microfoundations emphasizing the importance of prior beliefs and biases to the formation of policy attitudes. Analyzing the General Social Surveys panel, our results suggest political partisanship has been central. Gallup and Evaluations of Government and Society surveys provide further evidence against the potentially confounding scenario of government overreach, in which federal programs adopted during the recession and the Obama presidency propelled voters away from government. We note implications for theoretical models of opinion formation, as well as directions for partisanship scholarship and interdisciplinary research on the Great Recession.