AIDS and economic growth: A human capital approach

AIDS and economic growth: A human capital approach
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jdeveco.2005.01.004
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发表时间:
2006-06-01
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Roberts, J
Roberts, J
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
McDonald, S;Roberts, J

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本研究使用结合增长和健康资本方程的模型分析了艾滋病毒/艾滋病对经济增长的影响。计量经济结果表明,疫情影响是巨大的;在非洲,艾滋病毒感染率每增加 1%,对人均收入的边际影响为 -0.59%。即使在艾滋病毒感染率较低的国家,边际影响也不容忽视。因此,虽然艾滋病毒/艾滋病流行造成的人类和社会损失是令人担忧的主要原因,但这些结果表明,艾滋病毒/艾滋病流行对宏观经济的影响也很重要。 (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. 保留所有权利。
Using a model that combines growth and health capital equations this study analyses the impact of HIV/AIDS on economic growth. The econometric results indicate that the epidemic's effects have been substantial; in Africa the marginal impact on income per capita of a 1% increase in HIV prevalence rate is minus 0.59%. Even in countries with lower HIV prevalence rates the marginal impacts are non-trivial. Hence while the human and social costs of the HIV/AIDS epidemic are major causes for concern, these results indicate that the macroeconomic affects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic are important. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.