Natech or natural? An analysis of hazard perceptions, institutional trust, and future storm worry following Hurricane Harvey
Natech or natural? An analysis of hazard perceptions, institutional trust, and future storm worry following Hurricane Harvey
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DOI：
10.1007/s11069-020-03953-6
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发表时间：
2020-04
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
T. Slack;Vanessa Parks;Lynsay Ayer;Andrew M. Parker;Melissa L. Finucane;R. Ramchand
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Slack;Vanessa Parks;Lynsay Ayer;Andrew M. Parker;Melissa L. Finucane;R. Ramchand
研究人员传统上将引起灾害的危害概念化为“自然”或“技术”危害。大量文献记载了基于这种区别的不同社会后果，包括在技术灾难的背景下出现的腐蚀性社区动态。人们还日益认识到，许多灾害可被视为“natech”-以自然灾害和技术灾害相结合为特征的过程。2017年8月25日，飓风哈维沿着德克萨斯州中部墨西哥湾沿岸登陆，造成灾难性的洪水和工业毒素的广泛释放。我们研究了机构信任的变化和未来的风暴担忧在哈维之后，特别注意那些认为灾难主要是自然灾害和自然灾害之间的差异。根据墨西哥湾社区的创伤，复原力和机会调查，我们分析了2016年和2018年（哈维飓风前后）从德克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸家庭收集的两波队列面板数据。我们的研究结果表明，那些认为哈维是natech（与自然相比）的人更有可能不信任主要的机构参与者，并担心未来风暴的影响，即使在考虑了飓风前的特征之后。社区动态和未来的研究的影响进行了讨论。
Researchers have traditionally conceptualized hazards that give rise to disasters as “natural” or “technological.” An extensive literature has documented differential social consequences based on this distinction, including the emergence of corrosive community dynamics in the context of technological disasters. There is also growing recognition that many disasters can be conceptualized as “natech”—processes characterized by a combination of natural and technological hazards. On August 25, 2017, Hurricane Harvey made landfall along the central Texas Gulf Coast, causing catastrophic flooding and extensive releases of industrial toxins. We examined variation in institutional trust and future storm worry in the aftermath of Harvey, paying special attention to differences between those who viewed the disaster as being primarily natech and natural. Drawing on the Survey of Trauma, Resilience, and Opportunity in Neighborhoods in the Gulf, we analyzed two waves of cohort panel data collected from households on the Texas Gulf Coast in 2016 and 2018 (before and after Hurricane Harvey). Our findings showed that those who perceived Harvey as natech (compared to natural) were significantly more likely distrust major institutional actors and be worried about the impacts of future storms, even after accounting for pre-hurricane characteristics. Implications for community dynamics and future research are then discussed.