Globalisation, Crises and the Emergence of New Asian Regionalism: Genesis and Current Development

Globalisation, Crises and the Emergence of New Asian Regionalism: Genesis and Current Development
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全球化、危机与新亚洲区域主义的出现:起源与当前发展

DOI:
10.1057/9780230377561_2
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发表时间:
2003
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
T. V. Hoa
T. V. Hoa
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
T. V. Hoa

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本章重点关注亚洲新的区域经济一体化和自由贸易协定,即东盟+ 3 [或东盟加中国、日本和韩国(见东盟,2002 年)] 的上升趋势、政府、企业和学术层面的热烈讨论和日益增长的支持及其政策影响。特别关注上述东亚 3 的案例,作为这一新发展的关键参与者。讨论了基于历史证据的分析和方法评估,并对其合理性和可行性以及国际组织(例如国际货币基金组织(IMF))提出的竞争模型提出了评论。我们认为,我们的气候计量方法分析和预测是研究ASEAN+3政策问题的有用替代方案,并且可以成功扩展到对亚洲、大洋洲(例如ASEAN+5)和其他地区或贸易集团的其他经济一体化和自由贸易安排的评估研究。本章结构如下。下一节讨论主要导致亚洲自由贸易协定和亚洲区域经济一体化的区域和国际发展。第三节简要回顾了经济一体化的理论基础,并回顾了为证明建立亚洲自由贸易协定的合理性而提出的实证支持,并对经济一体化进行了回顾。然后重点讨论了韩国及其与东盟10国的贸易关系,以及如何利用过去35年培育的这种关系来支持东盟+3。接下来的部分分析了
This chapter is focused on the rising trends, heated discussions and growing support, at both the government, business and academic levels, to a new regional economic integration and free trade agreement, namely ASEAN+ 3 [or ASEAN plus China, Japan and Korea (see ASEAN, 2002)], in Asia and their policy implications. Special attention is paid to the case of the East Asia 3 above as the key players in this new development. An analytical and methodological evaluation, based on historical evidence, is discussed and comments are provided on its plausibility and viability and the proposal of rival models from the international organisations (such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF)). We suggest that our cliometric methodological analysis and forecasting is a useful alternative to studying ASEAN+ 3 policy issues and can be successfully extended to evaluative studies of other economic integrations and free trade arrangements in Asia, Oceania (eg ASEAN+ 5) and other regions or trading blocs.The structure of the chapter is as follows. The next section discusses the regional and international developments that essentially led to Asian FTAs and regional economic integration in Asia. Section 3 briefly reviews the theoretical fundamentals of economic integrations and the empirical support that have been put forward to justify the creation of Asian FTAs and economic integration is reviewed. Then on the case of Korea and its trading relationship with the 10 countries in ASEAN and on how this relationship that has been cultivated in the past 35 years can be used to support ASEAN+ 3 is focused on. The section after that analyses the