Delphi methodology in healthcare research: How to decide its appropriateness.
Delphi methodology in healthcare research: How to decide its appropriateness.
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DOI：
10.5662/wjm.v11.i4.116
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发表时间：
2021-07-20
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Juneja D
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Nasa P;Jain R;Juneja D
德尔菲技术是一个系统的预测过程，利用小组成员的集体意见。使用德尔菲法在小组成员之间形成共识的结构化方法已在医学的各个领域获得认可。德尔菲方法在过去几十年中发挥了关键作用，在研究有限、道德/后勤困难或证据相互矛盾的情况下，利用集体智慧制定最佳实践指南。然而，评估德尔菲研究质量标准的尝试报告了显着的差异，并遵循的过程的细节通常是不清楚的。我们建议系统的质量评估工具的德尔菲方法，确定问题领域的研究，选择小组，匿名的小组成员，控制反馈，迭代德尔菲轮，共识标准，分析的共识，关闭标准，和稳定的结果。基于这9个定性评价点，我们对2019年冠状病毒病相关医学领域的德尔菲研究质量进行了评估。在报告德尔菲方法的关键要素方面存在不一致，如确定小组成员、确定共识、各轮结束标准和提出结果。我们建议我们的评价点，研究人员，医学期刊编辑委员会，和评论家，以评估质量的德尔菲方法在医疗保健研究。
The Delphi technique is a systematic process of forecasting using the collective opinion of panel members. The structured method of developing consensus among panel members using Delphi methodology has gained acceptance in diverse fields of medicine. The Delphi methods assumed a pivotal role in the last few decades to develop best practice guidance using collective intelligence where research is limited, ethically/logistically difficult or evidence is conflicting. However, the attempts to assess the quality standard of Delphi studies have reported significant variance, and details of the process followed are usually unclear. We recommend systematic quality tools for evaluation of Delphi methodology; identification of problem area of research, selection of panel, anonymity of panelists, controlled feedback, iterative Delphi rounds, consensus criteria, analysis of consensus, closing criteria, and stability of the results. Based on these nine qualitative evaluation points, we assessed the quality of Delphi studies in the medical field related to coronavirus disease 2019. There was inconsistency in reporting vital elements of Delphi methods such as identification of panel members, defining consensus, closing criteria for rounds, and presenting the results. We propose our evaluation points for researchers, medical journal editorial boards, and reviewers to evaluate the quality of the Delphi methods in healthcare research.