DO CURRENT LEVELS OF AIR POLLUTION KILL? THE IMPACT OF AIR POLLUTION ON POPULATION MORTALITY IN ENGLAND
DO CURRENT LEVELS OF AIR POLLUTION KILL? THE IMPACT OF AIR POLLUTION ON POPULATION MORTALITY IN ENGLAND
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DOI：
10.1002/hec.1475
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发表时间：
2009-09-01
期刊：
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Henderson, John
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Janke, Katharina;Propper, Carol;Henderson, John
英国目前空气污染物的空气质量限值低于历史标准，并且处于被认为不会损害健康的水平。我们评估这个观点是否正确。我们研究了英国常见污染源或空气污染与人口死亡率之间的关系。我们使用 1998-2005 年地方当局层面的数据来检验目前的空气污染水平（以一氧化碳、二氧化氮、直径小于 10 微米的颗粒物 (PM10) 和臭氧的年平均浓度来衡量）是否与超额死亡有关。我们研究了全因死亡率以及特定心血管和呼吸系统原因造成的死亡，这些原因已知会因空气污染而加剧。我们数据的面板性质使我们能够控制地方当局层面上空气污染严重程度与人口健康状况不佳之间任何未观察到的时不变关联以及共同时间趋势。我们估计多污染物模型以考虑到其中三种污染物密切相关的事实。我们发现，较高水平的 PM10 和臭氧与死亡率相关，而且其影响大小比之前针对英格兰的主要时间序列研究估计的要大得多。版权所有 (C) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
The current air quality limit values for airborne pollutants in the UK are low by historical standards and are at levels that are believed not to harm health. We assess whether this view is correct. We examine the relationship between common sources or airborne pollution and Population mortality for England. We use data at local authority level for 1998-2005 to examine whether current levels of airborne pollution, as measured by annual mean concentrations of carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, particulate matter less than 10 mu m in diameter (PM10) and ozone, are associated with excess deaths. We examine all-cause mortality and deaths from specific cardiovascular and respiratory causes that are known to be exacerbated by air pollution. The panel nature of Our data allows us to control for any unobserved time-invariant associations at local authority level between high levels of air Pollution and poor population health and for common time trends. We estimate multi-pollutant models to allow for the fact that three of the pollutants are closely correlated. We find that higher levels of PM10 and ozone are associated with hie her mortality rates, and the effect sizes are considerably larger than previously estimated from the primarily time series studies for England. Copyright (C) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.