The Long-Term Costs of Job Displacement for Young Adult Workers
The Long-Term Costs of Job Displacement for Young Adult Workers
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年轻工人失业的长期成本
DOI：
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发表时间：
2003
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Fairlie
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
L. Kletzer;R. Fairlie
作者利用 NLSY 数据估算了年轻人失业的长期成本。流离失所后的头三年，收入和工资损失巨大。然而，与其他针对较成熟工人的研究发现的收入损失相比，这些年轻人的收入损失是短暂的，失业五年后观察到的收入与预期收入之间的差异大幅缩小。那时，男性的年收入缺口（相对于没有失业的情况下的预期）为 9%，女性为 12.5%，男性的时薪缺口为 21.2%。年轻工人在总收入损失的构成上也明显不同于较成熟的工人：对于老年工人来说，总损失主要代表实际的、直接的收入损失，而对于年轻工人来说，收入快速增长的机会的丧失更为重要。
Using NLSY data, the authors estimate the long-term costs of job displacement for young adults. Earnings and wage losses were large for the first three years following displacement. Compared to earnings losses found by other studies for more mature workers, however, earnings losses for these young adults were short-lived, with differences between observed and expected earnings narrowing considerably five years after job loss. At that point, the shortfall in annual earnings (relative to what would have been expected absent job loss) was 9% for men and 12.5% for women, and the shortfall in hourly wages was 21.2% for men. Young workers also apparently differ from more established workers in the composition of total earnings losses: for older workers, total losses largely represent actual, immediate earnings losses, whereas for young workers the loss of opportunities for rapid earnings growth is more important.