Opinion Polarization and Inter-Party Competition on Europe
Opinion Polarization and Inter-Party Competition on Europe
复制标题
对欧洲的意见两极分化和党派竞争
DOI：
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发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Carole J. Wilson
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
I. Down;Carole J. Wilson
欧洲怀疑主义的抬头、公众分歧的加剧以及政党内部和政党之间对欧洲的分歧日益扩大，这些都表明欧洲问题上出现了潜在的争论。本文旨在确定欧洲争论的两个重要因素，即政党间竞争和舆论分歧是否存在因果关系，这种关系的方向以及这种关系可能存在于哪些国家。为此，我们应用了一种最近开发的方法来分析横截面时间序列数据：面板格兰杰测试。我们确实发现了公众舆论与政党间竞争之间的因果关系，但只是在一些国家，而不是所有国家，我们讨论了政治竞争对欧洲的影响。
Rising Euroscepticism, increasing levels of public disagreement and growing divisions on Europe both within and between political parties are all indicators of the emergent potential for contestation on Europe. This article seeks to identify whether two important elements of contestation on Europe, namely inter-party competition and divisions in public opinion, are causally related, the direction of any such relationship and in which countries the relationship might exist. In doing so, we apply a recently developed method for analysing cross-sectional time-series data: panel Granger testing. We do, indeed, find a causal relationship between public opinion and inter-party competition, but only in some countries, not all, and we discuss the implications for political competition on Europe.