Deferment of the First Birth and Fluctuating Fertility in Sweden
Deferment of the First Birth and Fluctuating Fertility in Sweden
复制标题
瑞典推迟第一胎生育和生育率波动
DOI：
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发表时间：
2001
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Bracher
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Santow;Bracher
在瑞典，与其他工业化国家一样，几十年来生育率下降的同时，第一胎生育年龄上升。然而，与其他工业化国家相反，生育率在1980年代急剧上升，然后在1990年代回落。在本文中，我们采用风险回归的数据，从1992年瑞典家庭调查，补充年度收入数据与个人和年度时间序列的国家级经济指标，调查的预测因素的时间在瑞典妇女的第一个出生自20世纪60年代中期。个人特征和总体因素都会影响头胎生育的时间，这一发现揭示了头胎生育推迟的持续趋势和头胎生育率的年度波动。
In Sweden, as in other industrialized countries, a decades-old decline in fertility rates has been accompanied by a rise in the age at first birth. In contrast to other industrialized countries, however, fertility rates rose sharply in the 1980s before plummeting in the 1990s. In this paper we apply hazard regression to data from the 1992 Swedish Family Survey, supplemented by annual earnings data linked to individuals and by annual time series of national-level economic indicators, to investigate the predictors of the timing of the first birth of women in Sweden since the mid-1960s. The discovery that both individual characteristics and aggregate-level factors influence the timing of the first birth casts light on both the continuing trend of postponement of the first birth and annual fluctuations in first-birth rates.