FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2022–2042
FAA Aerospace Forecast Fiscal Years 2022–2042
复制标题
FAA 航空航天预测 2022-2042 财年
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
C. Roberts
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Roberts
本文中的预测是对航空需求的预测，是由建立在经济活动预测基础上的模型驱动的。经济预测和联邦航空局的模型中都有许多假设，可能会影响这些预测的实现程度。今年的预测至少在短期内受到新型冠状病毒(COVID19)对美国和全球经济以及航空业造成的影响的复苏速度的推动。不用说，恐怖主义仍然是全球航空业增长面临的最大风险之一。任何针对航空的恐怖事件都可能对航空服务的需求产生直接和重大的影响，其影响可能大于对整体经济活动的影响。
The forecasts in this document are forecasts of aviation demand, driven by models built on forecasts of economic activity. There are many assumptions in both the economic forecasts and in the FAA models that could affect the degree to which these forecasts are realized. This year’s forecast is driven, at least in the near-term, by the pace of recovery from the impacts to the U.S. and global economies and the aviation industry resulting from the novel coronavirus (COVID19). It does go without saying that terrorism remains among the greatest world-wide risks to aviation growth. Any terrorist incident aimed at aviation could have an immediate and significant impact on the demand for aviation services that could be greater than its impact on overall economic activity.